If an election were held this weekend, the CSV would lose six seats. A clearer rejection could not be imagined. The Christian Socialists have never had so few MPs in the Chamber. With the exception of the CSV and the Pirates (-1 seat), all other parties are making gains: the LSAP (+3 seats to 14 MPs), the DP (+1 seat to 15 MPs), the ADR (+2 seats to 7 MPs) and déi Gréng (+2 seats to 6 MPs). Déi Lénk would retain its two MPs. In terms of votes, the three main parties are neck and neck: 21.8% for the CSV, 21.5% for the DP and 20.9% for the LSAP.
Three or more
The immediate consequence is that, with 30 elected representatives, the current coalition would need to turn to a third party to secure a seat. An alternative scenario: the return of a “Gambie” coalition—LSAP, DP and déi Gréng—which would have a total of 35 elected representatives. But this time, the post of Prime Minister would go to a Socialist. Other coalitions are mathematically possible, but politically risky.
On the ground, those surveyed criticise government policy, which they consider too liberal. This view is widely held among socialist (81%) and green (89%) voters. 76% of DP voters and 54% of CSV voters share this view.
The Sonndesfro (“Sunday Poll”) was conducted between 13 and 24 April 2026 among 1,863 people of voting age.
